Presidential election 2015 on emigration. Quantitative analysis as a method of presenting the actual state.

AUTHOR:
Magdalena Bewicz

ABSTRACT:
The base of contemporary democracy there is the right to participate in presidential elections, which are, as a rule, universal and direct, as well as equal and secret, according to point 127 of the Constitution of the Republic of Poland. A society, understood as a general public by their electoral rights, is still, to a lesser extent, aspiring to take direct part in the election of the head of state.1 Such a right is granted to all citizens of the country in which the presidential election take place, as defined in point 2 of the Constitution of the Republic of Poland at the latest on election day ends 18 years of age. It is worth noting that not everyone who crosses this magic threshold can be identified as a voter. The right to vote is vested in those who hold the full rights of the public, who have not been denied the right to vote by the ruling of the Constitutional Tribunal and the person in full mental authority.2
The prevalence of the presidential election is expressed in the drafting of voters by the municipal offices, which are supposed to allow the voter to vote. The list includes citizens who meet the above requirements, including persons in hospitals, social welfare facilities, penitentiaries or detention centers.3 At this point, it is particularly important to add that people of Polish descent who have been on immigration for a longer or shorter time may also vote.
At the time of the Polish presidential election campaign 2015, Internet forums devoted to Polonia issues and social networking sites such as Facebook had heated discussions over the matter of voting by people who did not live in their country of origin and still enjoy the right of election. Constituentists, lawyers and politicians joined in this discussion. The aim of this article is to bend over the presidential elections 2015 in the context of the migration of Poles. From a methodological point of view, it is intended to be used as a test material for quantitative analysis and justification for its wide application in political science and humanities which, as a result of incorrect assumptions, abounds in nonparametric data, resulting in objective results of research that could be representative.
Thus, the thesis set out in this article is the statement that quantitative analysis as a re- search tool can be used in political science to obtain objective results that are representative and used for further exploratory research. The research questions that are supposed to be used as guides are:
a. What is the main assumption of quantitative analysis in the theoretical aspect?,
b. How quantitative analysis as a tool can be used in political science?,
c. In what way the statistical databases can be used as a source of information?,
d. How to use the quantitative analysis to analyze the results of the election on emigration?.
Paying particular attention to the fact that the phenomenon of migration is becoming more
powerful and the number of Poles abroad, especially in the United Kingdom, is increasing significantly, leading to social and political disputes, expressed even in the Brexit idea, the Polish presidential elections in the UK are the basis of exploration for this tool. It is intended to examine the mechanisms of electoral behaviour and attitudes of migrants towards such actions.

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